How to Calculate and Apply Forfeiture Rates for Employee Share Plans

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Accurately calculating and applying forfeiture rates is essential for effective financial management and compliance with IFRS 2. This guide provides a comprehensive approach to estimating forfeiture rates, understanding share-based payment rules, and ensuring compliance with international financial reporting standards.

Understanding the Expected Forfeiture Rate

At its core, the expected forfeiture rate is an estimate of how many employees are likely to leave before their share-based awards vest. Since share-based payments are typically tied to long-term employment, companies need to account for the likelihood that not every granted award will eventually be earned due to performance conditions not being met or staff leaving before the end of their required service period for the awards to vest. Under IFRS 2, companies are required to estimate forfeitures at the grant date and adjust their expense recognition accordingly over time. This rate directly impacts the expenses recognised for share-based payments over time.

Importance for IFRS 2 Compliance

IFRS 2 requires companies to estimate the number of share-based awards expected to vest. Accurate estimation is crucialโ€”overestimation can inflate expenses, while underestimation may lead to unexpected financial adjustments. By applying a well-researched forfeiture rate, businesses enhance the accuracy and transparency of their financial reports, ensuring compliance with regulatory expectations.

Read more about IFRS 2 Share Based Payments

Calculating the Expected Forfeiture Rate

To determine the expected forfeiture rate, follow these steps:

Determine a Baseline Rate: Establish an initial estimate based on industry benchmarks or historical company data.

Customise the Rate: Adjust the rate to reflect different employee roles and levels, as turnover probabilities vary across job categories.

Use Historical Data: Analyse past employee turnover trends to refine estimates further.

Apply the Formula: As the vesting date approaches, the likelihood of an employee meeting the service period condition increases.

Regular Adjustments: Reassess and update the forfeiture rate periodically based on actual forfeitures to enhance accuracy in financial reporting.

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Making Sense of Share-Based Payment Rules

1. Pro-rata Leaver Rule

Imagine an employee who leaves halfway through their vesting period. How much of their award should they receive? The pro-rata leaver rule helps determine this by calculating the portion of the service period the employee actually completed. While this rule primarily governs award eligibility rather than accounting treatment, IFRS 2 requires companies to adjust expenses based on forfeitures. This ensures that leave dates are properly accounted for and financial reporting remains accurate.

2. Transfer Rule โ€“ Keeping Things Seamless

Employees donโ€™t always stay in one place – they may transfer between different entities within the same corporate group. The transfer rule ensures that their share-based awards generally remain intact, with their original grant date, vesting conditions, and terms typically staying unchanged unless modifications are required under plan rules or jurisdictional policies. From an accounting perspective, IFRS 2 requires that the associated expenses be allocated based on the duration of service in each entity, ensuring proper cost allocation.

3. What Happens When an Employee Leaves? Accelerating Expense Recognition

When an employee leaves, should the company continue recognising expenses over time, or should it immediately record everything owed? This depends on whether the award is forfeited, accelerated, or settled early. Under IFRS 2, if the employee forfeits the award by failing to meet service conditions, the company must reverse previously recognised expenses. However, if the award is accelerated (e.g., due to contractual good leaver provisions) or settled early, the remaining expense must be recognised immediately, aligning with IFRS 2โ€™s treatment of cancellations.

4. Understanding Fair Value: Split Fair Value Rule

Not all share-based awards are created equal. Some have market conditions (like stock price targets), while others have service conditions (such as tenure requirements). The split fair value rule ensures that these different factors are accounted for separately: market conditions are incorporated into the fair value calculation, whereas non-market conditions impact the estimated number of shares expected to vest. This distinction helps refine expense recognition and enhance the accuracy of financial reporting.

5. How Subsidiary Cash-Settled Awards Work

For companies using cash-settled awards, the valuation process differs from equity-settled awards. Instead of using the grant date fair value, these awards must be remeasured at fair value at each reporting date until settlement. This ensures that financial statements reflect up-to-date market conditions. Under IFRS 2, this approach applies to all cash-settled awards; however, if the award has both equity and cash-settled components (a hybrid instrument), separate fair value calculations are required for each component.

6. Using Grant Date Fair Value: A Non-Compliant Shortcut

Some companies may prefer to internally track cash-settled awards using the grant date fair value, but this approach is not IFRS 2 compliant for external reporting. According to IFRS 2, Paragraph 30, cash-settled liabilities must be remeasured at fair value at each reporting date until settlement. While some organisations enable static valuation settings for internal tracking, it is essential to ensure that external financial reports adhere to IFRS 2 standards.

7. The Equity Liability Rule and Dividends

Another key consideration in share-based payments is how dividends impact valuation. If employees receive dividends or dividend equivalents during the vesting period, there is no reduction in the fair value of their awards. However, if dividends are not received, the fair value of the award is adjusted downward to reflect the present value of expected foregone dividends. This adjustment ensures that financial reporting accurately captures the economic value of employee compensation.

Best Practices for Applying Forfeiture Rates

Getting forfeiture rates right isnโ€™t just about complianceโ€”itโ€™s about financial accuracy and strategic planning. Here are some best practices to follow:

  • Review assumptions regularly: Employee attrition rates change, so reassess forfeiture estimates frequently.
  • Align forfeiture assumptions with business trends: High-attrition industries may need different estimates than more stable sectors.
  • Use historical data to refine estimates: Past employee behaviour provides valuable insights into future forfeitures.
  • Stay updated on IFRS 2 guidance: Regulatory requirements evolve, and staying informed helps avoid compliance issues.

Enhance Accuracy and Compliance with ShareForce

Optimising share-based payment strategies requires structured processes, automated calculations, and accurate forfeiture rate estimations. ShareForce helps businesses reduce manual errors, improve IFRS 2 compliance, and streamline expense allocation and fair value managementโ€”all while ensuring financial statements reflect real-time changes.

Taking a proactive approach to share-based payment management not only enhances regulatory compliance but also strengthens financial decision-making. With improved accuracy in forfeiture rate application, businesses can attract top talent, drive sustainable growth, and maximise the impact of their equity-based compensation plans.

Schedule a demo of ShareForce today to see how our platform simplifies forfeiture rate calculations and enhances financial reporting accuracy

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